← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
2
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-7-0
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
42.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1202
· median 1202
· range 1108–1295
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1306
Q3 1362
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 36.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 51.1% | +0.8 |
| Fire Suited | 18.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.8% | -5.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.9% | +6.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Ciel | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
